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Title:N-Beats architecture for explainable forecasting of multi-dimensional poultry data
Authors:ID Kaur, Baljinder (Author)
ID Rakhra, Manik (Author)
ID Sharma, Nonita (Author)
ID Prashar, Deepak (Author)
ID Mršić, Leo (Author)
ID Khan, Arfat Ahmad (Author)
ID Kadry, Seifedine (Author)
Files:URL URL - Source URL, visit https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0320979
 
.pdf PDF - Presentation file, download (1,63 MB)
MD5: A6246FB7FE3238E1B645229D9D6799B3
 
Language:English
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:Logo RUDOLFOVO - Rudolfovo - Science and Technology Centre Novo Mesto
Abstract:The agricultural economy heavily relies on poultry production, making accurate forecasting of poultry data crucial for optimizing revenue, streamlining resource utilization, and maximizing productivity. This research introduces a novel application of the N-BEATS architecture for multi-dimensional poultry data forecasting with enhanced interpretability through an integrated Explainable AI (XAI) framework. Leveraging its advanced capabilities in time series modeling, N-BEATS is applied to predict multiple facets of poultry disease diagnostics using a multivariate dataset comprising key environmental parameters. The methodology empowers decision-making in poultry farm management by providing transparent and interpretable forecasts. Experimental results demonstrate that N-BEATS outperforms conventional deep learning models, including LSTM, GRU, RNN, and CNN, across various error metrics, achieving MAE of 0.172, RMSE of 0.313, MSLE of 0.042, R-squared of 0.034, and RMSLE of 0.204. The positive R-squared value indicates the model’s robustness against underfitting and overfitting, surpassing the performance of other models with negative R-squared values. This study establishes N-BEATS as a superior and interpretable solution for complex, multi-dimensional forecasting challenges in poultry production, with significant implications for enhancing predictive analytics in agriculture.
Keywords:poultry, livestock, forecasting, epidemiology, humidity, veterinary diseases, polynomials
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Publication date:24.04.2025
Publisher:Public Library of Science
Year of publishing:2025
Number of pages:str. 1-19
Numbering:Vol. 20, iss. 4
PID:20.500.12556/DiRROS-22649 New window
UDC:519.87:004.92:636.52
ISSN on article:1932-6203
DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0320979 New window
COBISS.SI-ID:239347459 New window
Copyright:© 2025 Kaur et al.
Note:Soavtorji: Manik Rakhra, Nonita Sharma, Deepak Prashar, Leo Mrsic, Arfat Ahmad Khan, Seifedine Kadry; Nasl. z nasl. zaslona; Opis vira z dne 13. 6. 2024;
Publication date in DiRROS:09.09.2025
Views:270
Downloads:109
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:PloS one
Publisher:Public Library of Science
ISSN:1932-6203
COBISS.SI-ID:2005896 New window

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:perutnina, živina, napovedovanje, globoko učenje, epidemiologija, veterinarske bolezni, polinomi


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