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Abstract: The wood-based bioeconomy is one of the main pillars of sustainable transformation and decarbonisation of the economy, as it promotes the use of renewable resources, reduces reliance on fossil fuels, and supports the development of eco-friendly industries. The paper provides quantitative insight into the potential impacts of transformation of the wood-based bioeconomy in Slovenia, a small, export-oriented economy with ample, but sub-optimally used, forest resources. The analysis uses an input–output (I-O) model to estimate I-O multipliers of sectors representing the wood-based bioeconomy and to capture their direct and indirect impacts on the Slovenian economy. The baseline performance of the wood bioeconomy sectors and their potential to induce economic activity (Scenario A) are estimated with an adjusted I-O model (based on the national I-O table for 2015), in which hybrid sectors are divided into conventional and bio-based segments. Alternative transformation pathways are translated into four additional scenarios. While Scenario B foresees progress in efficiency and integration within the existing structure of transactions, Scenario C (increased energy use of wood biomass) and Scenarios D/D+ (technology- and capital-intensive restructuring) represent two extreme restructuring pathways of the sector. The results of scenario analysis with the I-O model show that the changes in the input requirement structure of the Slovenian wood-based bioeconomy could result in up to a 17% increase in total output, up to a 20% increase in the number of employees, and up to a 16% increase in incomes, all of them attributed to the most optimistic scenario (D+). The results of the study provide quantified assessments underpinning strategic planning for the wood-based bioeconomy, both in the industry and public policy spheres.
Keywords: wood-based bioeconomy, input–output model, transformation pathways, impact analysis, strategic planning
Published in DiRROS: 09.01.2025; Views: 716; Downloads: 449
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Abstract: As far as the utilization of the value-added potential of hardwood assortments is concerned, we have considerable reserves in Slovenia. These could be exploited mainly by increasing the economic use of roundwood in Slovenia and by developing more technologically advanced processing methods for roundwood. The aim of this paper is to assess the untapped potential of the forest-wood chain in Slovenia using input-output models, focusing on the use of hardwood. For the whole forest-wood chain, we assessed the existing situation and tested five scenarios for the improvement of the forest-wood chain in Slovenia. We developed a national input-output model to evaluate possible scenarios for the future development of the wood-based bioeconomy. The results of scenario analysis of the input-output model show that the Slovenian wood-based bioeconomy can achieve up to 20% higher production value, a 24% increase in employment and 19% increase in household income in the future through restructuring of economic activities. In the paper, we discuss how upgrading the forestry and wood-processing industry (according to the defined scenarios) could be achieved by increasing the processing capacity of hardwoods and provide recommendations for decision makers.
Keywords: forest- and wood-based bioeconomy, hardwoods utilization, input-output models, wood processing industry, scenario analysis, mobilization of hardwoods
Published in DiRROS: 03.08.2023; Views: 1402; Downloads: 770
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Published in DiRROS: 03.11.2021; Views: 2063; Downloads: 668
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Abstract: Krčenje zalog fosilnih goriv, netrajnostno izkoriščanje naravnih virov in podnebne spremembe so dejavniki, ki pospešujejo prehod v biogospodarstvo. Tovrsten prehod omogočajo tehnologije in novo znanje pretvorbe biomase v različne produkte, med seboj povezane v kaskadnih in (energetsko in snovno) krožnih proizvodnih ciklih. Eno ključnih področij biogospodarstva je področje rabe lesa, ki trenutno prispeva eno tretjino k skupni dodani vrednosti slovenskega biogospodarstva. Glede na stanje v državah s primerljivimi naravnimi in strukturnimi danostmi Slovenija v razvoju biogospodarstva zaostaja. V pričujočem delu smo predstavili generične dejavnike, ki vplivajo na razvoj biogospodarstva ter pripravili pregled stanja slovenskega biogospodarstva na področju rabe lesa. Stanje slovenskega biogospodarstva uvrščamo v širši evropski okvir ter ocenjujemo nadaljnje možnosti razvoja rabe lesa.
Keywords: biogospodarstvo, lesna biomasa, obnovljivi viri energije, raba lesa, biorafinerije, kaskadna raba lesa
Published in DiRROS: 20.12.2019; Views: 3766; Downloads: 1105
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