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Title:Violence, living standards, and inequality in modern times : empirical notes on historical progress
Authors:ID Rutar, Tibor (Author)
Files:.pdf PDF - Presentation file, download (878,44 KB)
MD5: 3710612219C646DE95EF77B64AB5F0F6
 
URL URL - Source URL, visit https://retrospektive-journal.org/digitalni-arhiv/
 
Language:English
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:Logo ZR - Association Retrospektive
Abstract:This paper examines the recent debates surrounding the “New Optimists,” who argue that the last few centuries have witnessed unprecedented human progress, particularly in terms of rising living standards. Their critics, by contrast, emphasize the persistence of violence and the continued presence of high inequality in modern societies. Using long-run cross-national data on war deaths, homicide, income, and inequality, the paper finds that violence remains low and relatively contained, real after--tax incomes for the world’s bottom half have more than doubled, and inequality has stabilized or declined since around 2005. Statistical analyses further show that improvements in property rights, the rule of law, and free trade consistently precede sustained increases in GDP per capita. Progress is neither teleological nor inevitable, but it is measurable, broadly ongoing, and closely tied to open economic and political institutions.
Keywords:progress, New Optimists, violence, inequality, living standards
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Publication date:01.01.2025
Place of publishing:Ljubljana
Year of publishing:2025
Number of pages:str. 27-55
Numbering:8, 2/3
PID:20.500.12556/DiRROS-28066 New window
UDC:316.42:303.44"20"
ISSN on article:2630-3426
DOI:10.64651/8-2-3 New window
COBISS.SI-ID:268325123 New window
Note:Besedilo v angl.
Publication date in DiRROS:09.03.2026
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Downloads:243
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Retrospektive : znanstvena revija za zgodovinopisje in sorodna področja
Publisher:Združenje za promocijo kulturne dediščine, raziskav in novih tehnologij- Retrospektive
ISSN:2630-3426
COBISS.SI-ID:297275392 New window

Document is financed by a project

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:P6-0235-2022
Name:Slovenska zgodovina

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Title:Nasilje, življenjski standard in neenakost v modernem času : empirične opombe o zgodovinskem napredku
Abstract:anek obravnava nedavne razprave o t. i. »novih optimistih«, ki trdijo, da je pri lo v zadnjih nekaj stoletjih do izjemnega napredka lovetva, posebej kar zadeva nara ajo i ivljenjski standard. Nasprotno pa njihovi kritiki poudarjajo vztrajnost nasilja in trajno prisotnost visoke stopnje neenakosti v modernih drubah. Z uporabo longitudinalnih podatkov o umrlih v vojnah, umorih, dohodkih in neenakosti lanek izpostavi, da nasilje ostaja na nizki ravni in razmeroma omejeno, ter da so se realni dohodki spodnje polovice svetovnega prebivalstva ve kot podvojili, medtem ko se je neenakost od okoli leta 2005 ustalila ali zmanj ala. S statisti no analizo dodatno pokae, da iritev lastninskih pravic, vladavine prava in prostega trga prispevajo k dolgotrajni rasti BDP na prebivalca. Napredek ni niti teleoloki niti neizbeen, je pa merljiv, preteno trajen in tesno povezan z inkluzivnimi gospodarskimi in politi nimi institucijami.
Keywords:napredek, novi optimisti, nasilje, neenakost, življenski standard


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  1. Retrospektive

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