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Title:Odraščati z naraščajočo negotovostjo : zaznane grožnje prihodnosti, optimizem in pričakovanja mladostnikov glede svoje izobrazbe
Authors:ID Lep, Žan (Author)
ID Klemenčič Mirazchiyski, Eva (Author)
ID Mekiš Recek, Žiga (Author)
Files:URL URL - Source URL, visit https://journals.uni-lj.si/psiholoska-obzorja/article/view/25555
 
.pdf PDF - Presentation file, download (763,75 KB)
MD5: 698DB42539CC8D1B8A643BCA5DECF2BB
 
Language:Slovenian
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:Logo PI - Educational Research Institute
Abstract:Mladi odraščajo v vse bolj nepredvidljivem svetu, hkrati pa vse pogosteje poročajo o zaskrbljenosti zaradi različnih vidikov lastne ter družbene prihodnosti. Ta je povezana z nižjim blagostanjem, mlade pa tudi ovira pri že sicer zahtevnem opravljanju razvojnih nalog v mladostništvu, med katere sodijo oblikovanje učne in poklicne identitete ter pričakovanj na obeh področjih. Zato nas je zanimalo, kakšna je povezanost med zaskrbljenostjo glede prihodnosti družbe, optimizmom glede lastne prihodnosti in izobraževalnimi pričakovanji. Uporabili smo nacionalne podatke zbrane v Mednarodni raziskavi državljanske vzgoje in izobraževanja (ICCS 2022), ki zajemajo reprezentativni vzorec odgovorov 4.958 osmošolk in osmošolcev iz Slovenije. Rezultati kažejo, da se večja zaskrbljenost glede evropske prihodnosti povezuje z nižjim optimizmom glede lastne prihodnosti, večja zaskrbljenost glede globalnih groženj pa z nekoliko višjim optimizmom. Rezultati ordinalne logistične regresije so pokazali, da višja zaskrbljenost glede prihodnjih negativnih družbenih izidov na evropski in globalni ravni napoveduje nižja pričakovanja glede izobraževalnih izidov mladostnikov ob statističnem nadzoru družbeno-ekonomskega položaja družine in državljanske vednosti, ki k pričakovanjem prispevata pozitivno. Učinek pričakovanih negativnih družbenih izidov na pričakovane izobraževalne izide učencev je delno posredovan preko optimizma glede lastne prihodnosti, pri čemer imajo bolj optimistični učenci višja izobraževalna pričakovanja. Ugotovitve naše študije kažejo na zaščitno vlogo ugodnega družinskega okolja in optimizma pri soočanju z negotovostjo v družbi. Poleg tega ima lahko pri podpori učencev iz slabših družbeno-ekonomskih okolij pomembno vlogo javno šolstvo, ki lahko izboljša državljansko vednost in samoučinkovitost učencev ter jih opolnomoči za oblikovanje visokih učnih pričakovanj ter učinkovito udejstvovanje v družbi.
Keywords:razvoj mladostnika, negotovost, optimizem, blagostanje, izobrazba, pričakovanja, Mednarodna raziskava državljanske vzgoje in izobraževanja ICCS 2022
Publication version:Version of Record
Publication date:01.01.2025
Year of publishing:2025
Number of pages:str. 174-188
Numbering:Letn. 34
PID:20.500.12556/DiRROS-24978 New window
UDC:159.922.8:316.6
ISSN on article:2350-5141
DOI:10.20419/2025.34.616 New window
COBISS.SI-ID:263631875 New window
Note:Besedilo v slov.; Nasl. z nasl. zaslona; Opis vira z dne 6. 1. 2026;
Publication date in DiRROS:06.01.2026
Views:145
Downloads:76
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Psihološka obzorja : slovenska znanstveno-strokovna psihološka revija
Publisher:Društvo psihologov Slovenije
ISSN:2350-5141
COBISS.SI-ID:271603200 New window

Document is financed by a project

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:P5-0106-2020
Name:Edukacijske raziskave
Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:BI-BA/24-25-003-2024
Name:Psihološki mehanizmi pretvarjanja političnih identitet in prepričanj mladih v njihovo prosocialno in okolju prijazno vedenje
Funder:Other - Other funder or multiple funders
Funding programme:Ministrstvo za vzgojo in izobraževanje
Project number:C3350-24-431002
Name:Sekundarna študija ICCS 2022

Licences

License:CC BY-SA 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
Description:This Creative Commons license is very similar to the regular Attribution license, but requires the release of all derivative works under this same license.

Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Growing up with growing uncertainty : perceived future threats, optimism, and educational expectations of the adolescents
Abstract:Young people are growing up in an increasingly unpredictable world, while simultaneously reporting greater concerns about various aspects of their personal and societal future. Concerns about the future are associated with lower well-being and can hinder the completion of already challenging developmental tasks of adolescence, which include shaping of their academic and professional identities and expectations. We were thus interested in the relationship between concerns about the future of society, optimism about personal future, and educational expectations. We used national data from the International Civic and Citizenship Education Study (ICCS 2022), covering a representative sample of responses from 4,958 eighth-grade students in Slovenia. The results show that greater concern about European future is associated with lower optimism about one‘s own future, while greater concern about global threats is associated with slightly higher optimism. The results of the ordinal logistic regression revealed that higher concern about future negative social outcomes at European and global levels predicts lower expectations about students‘ educational outcomes when controlling for family socio-economic status and civic knowledge, which contribute positively to educational expectations. The effect of negative future social outlooks on students‘ expected educational outcomes is partly mediated through optimism about one‘s future, with more optimistic students reporting higher educational expectations. The findings suggest a protective role of a supportive family environment and optimism in coping with social uncertainty. In addition, public education can play an important role in supporting students from lower socio-economic backgrounds by improving students‘ civic knowledge and self-efficacy, empowering them to develop high learning expectations and to participate effectively in the society.
Keywords:adolescent development, uncertainty, optimism, well being, education, expectations, International civic and citizenship education study ICCS 2022


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