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Title:Climate change reflected in 40-year isotopic composition trends of precipitation in Slovenia
Authors:ID Gačnik, Jan, Institut "Jožef Stefan" (Author)
ID Žagar, Klara, Institut "Jožef Stefan" (Author)
ID Hatvani, István Gábor (Author)
ID Kern, Zoltán (Author)
ID Vreča, Polona, Institut "Jožef Stefan" (Author)
Files:URL URL - Source URL, visit https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/environmental-research
 
.pdf PDF - Presentation file, download (7,50 MB)
MD5: 284464877DF7B84BAB9CD8FA4C097644
 
Language:English
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:Logo IJS - Jožef Stefan Institute
Abstract:Long-term monitoring of stable isotopes in precipitation (δ18O, δ2 H), alongside meteorological data, is key to understanding how large-scale hydroclimate variability influences regional and local climate. This study presents one of the longest records in Central and Southeastern Europe: the multi-decadal (1981–2024) dataset of monthly composite precipitation stable isotope records from Ljubljana, Slovenia. The δ18O, δ2 H, and d-excess values are increasing (+0.02 ‰, +0.18 ‰, and +0.05 ‰ per year, respectively), consistent with regional warming. Seasonal patterns were evident, with elevated d-excess values during autumn. The decomposition of the δ18O, δ2 H and d-excess time series using Hilbert-Huang Transform revealed statistically significant annual oscillations in all variables. These oscillations correlated strongly with the annual oscillation of temperature, but a lag of 2–3 months was identified for d-excess. Lower-frequency (multi-year) oscillations of d-excess were also observed. HYSPLIT back-trajectory analysis confirmed a significant contribution of Mediterranean-sourced air masses to autumn precipitation, but did not explain d-excess oscillations. Similar results were observed also for coastal (Portoroˇz, Slovenia) and continental (Vienna, Austria) stations. The findings imply an accelerating, exponential-like isotopic response to warming that has already propagated into the water cycle, providing isotope evidence that precipitation-surface water-groundwater interactions in investigated region changed in last decade.
Keywords:precipitation stable isotopes, trend analysis, Hilbert-Huang transform, ensemble empirical mode decomposition, HYSPLIT
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Submitted for review:30.09.2025
Article acceptance date:05.11.2025
Publication date:05.11.2025
Publisher:Elsevier
Year of publishing:2026
Number of pages:str. 1-11
Numbering:Vol. 288, [article no.] 123286
Source:Nizozemska
PID:20.500.12556/DiRROS-24196 New window
UDC:551.58
ISSN on article:1096-0953
COBISS.SI-ID:257145603 New window
Copyright:© 2025 The Authors.
Note:Nasl. z nasl. zaslona; Soavtorji: Klara Žagar, István Gábor Hatvani, Zoltán Kern, Polona Vreča; Opis vira z dne 13. 11. 2025;
Publication date in DiRROS:19.11.2025
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Downloads:52
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Environmental research
Shortened title:Environ. res.
Publisher:Academic Press
ISSN:1096-0953
COBISS.SI-ID:512760888 New window

Document is financed by a project

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:P0-0531-0106-1999
Name:Biološki in geokemijski ciklusi

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:P1-0143-2020
Name:Kroženje snovi v okolju, snovna bilanca in modeliranje okoljskih procesov ter ocena tveganja

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:N1-0054-2016
Name:Prostorska porazdelitev izotopske sestave padavin v Evropi s poudarkom na območju med Jadranskim morjem in Panonsko nižino

Funder:International Atomic Energy Agency
Project number:CRP F31002
Name:Isotopic composition of precipitation in the Mediterranean Basin in relation to air circulation patterns and climate

Funder:International Atomic Energy Agency
Project number:CRP F33024
Name:Isotope Techniques for the Evaluation of Water Sources for Domestic Supply in Urban Areas

Funder:International Atomic Energy Agency
Project number:CRP F31006
Name:Isotope variability of rain for assessing climate change impacts

Funder:International Atomic Energy Agency
Project number:RER7013
Name:Evaluating Groundwater Resources and Groundwater-Surface-Water Interactions in the Context of Adapting to Climate Change

Funder:International Atomic Energy Agency
Project number:RER7017
Name:Ensuring Water Availability in a Changing Climate

Funder:International Atomic Energy Agency
Project number:NC SLO7001
Name:Upgrading Capacities for Integrated Water Resources Management

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.
Licensing start date:05.11.2025
Applies to:VoR

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