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Title:Vpliv podnebnih sprememb na pričakovano prostorsko prerazporeditev tipov gozdne vegetacije
Authors:ID Kutnar, Lado (Author)
ID Kobler, Andrej (Author)
ID Bergant, Klemen (Author)
Files:.pdf PDF - Presentation file, download (722,39 KB)
MD5: 00E02FA8D9A964B7BBE38955E16D7EF0
PID: 20.500.12556/dirros/2fac4bbd-5332-4a4d-91e3-3634921e50ef
 
Language:Slovenian
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:Logo SciVie - Slovenian Forestry Institute
Abstract:V raziskavi smo simulirali prostorsko prerazporeditev tipov gozdne vegetacije v Sloveniji, do katere bi lahko prišlo ob pričakovanih podnebnih spremembah. Potencialne prostorske spremembe gozdne vegetacije so bile analizirane v GIS okolju s pomočjo empiričnega modela, ki napoveduje prostorsko razporeditev gozdne vegetacije v odvisnosti od podnebnih in drugih parametrov. Rezultati simulacij na osnovi treh podnebnih scenarijev kažejo, da se bo vzorec razporeditve gozdne vegetacije menjal pod vplivom podnebnih sprememb. Po napovedih bi lahko do leta 2070 prišlo do sprememb vegetacijskega tipa na več kot 75 % vseh gozdnih površin. Danes prevladujoči, pretežno bukovi gozdovi bi lahko bili v spremenjenih okoljskih razmerah močno prizadeti. Model napovedujepadec deleža prevladujočih mezofilnih bukovih gozdov s sedanjih 57 %na samo 3 % po pesimističnem scenariju in do 29 % po optimističnem scenariju.V toplejšem podnebju, ki ga predvidevajo vsi trije scenariji, bi se močno razširili različni termofilni gozdovi.
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Year of publishing:2009
Number of pages:str. 33-42
Numbering:Vol. 89
PID:20.500.12556/DiRROS-7719 New window
UDC:630*18:630*11(045)=163.6
ISSN on article:0351-3114
URN:URN:NBN:SI:doc-LU9QBI8H
COBISS.SI-ID:2519974 New window
Publication date in DiRROS:12.07.2017
Views:5377
Downloads:2204
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KUTNAR, Lado, KOBLER, Andrej and BERGANT, Klemen, 2009, Vpliv podnebnih sprememb na pričakovano prostorsko prerazporeditev tipov gozdne vegetacije. Zbornik gozdarstva in lesarstva. forest and wood science & technology [online]. 2009. Vol. 89, p. 33–42. [Accessed 7 April 2025]. Retrieved from: https://dirros.openscience.si/IzpisGradiva.php?lang=eng&id=7719
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Zbornik gozdarstva in lesarstva. forest and wood science & technology
Shortened title:Zb. gozd. lesar.
Publisher:Gozdarski inštitut Slovenije, Biotehniška fakulteta, Oddelek za gozdarstvo in obnovljive gozdne vire, Biotehniška fakulteta, Oddelek za lesarstvo
ISSN:0351-3114
COBISS.SI-ID:6206978 New window

Secondary language

Language:Undetermined
Title:The impacts of climate change on the expected spatial redistribution of forest vegetation types
Abstract:The redistribution of forest vegetation types in Slovenia, driven by the expected climate change, has been simulated. The potential spatial changes of forest vegetation have been analyzed using empirical GIS model forecasting thespatial distribution of forest vegetation in relation to climate and other ecological parameters. Based on the three different climate scenarios, the simulations showed that the spatial pattern of forest vegetation will be altered under the impacts of climate change. According to the prediction in the year 2070, the vegetation type is likely to be changed on more than 75% ofall forest sites. Nowadays dominant forests, mostly beech, may be affected by such changing environmental conditions. The decrease of the actual prevailing mesic beech forest share from the present 57% to only 3% under the pessimistic scenario and up to 29% under the optimistic scenario could be expected. In a warmer climate, predicted by all three future scenarios, different thermophilous forests will be expanded over larger area of the country


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This document is a part of these collections:
  1. Acta Silvae et Ligni

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