| Title: | Localised multi-hazard risk assessment in Kyrgyz Republic |
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| Authors: | ID Umaraliev, Ruslan (Author)
ID Zaginaev, Vitalii (Author)
ID Sakyev, Daurbek (Author)
ID Tockov, Dimitar (Author)
ID Amanova, Madina (Author)
ID Makhmudova, Zarangez (Author)
ID Nazarkulov, Kydyr (Author)
ID Abdrakhmatov, Kanatbek (Author)
ID Nizamiev, Abdurashit (Author)
ID Moura, Rui (Author)
ID Blanchard, Kevin (Author) |
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| Files: |  PDF - Presentation file, download (3,80 MB)
MD5: 018AC3443DC480A4A43271E3235929C8
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| Language: | English |
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| Typology: | 1.01 - Original Scientific Article |
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| Organization: |  GeoZS - Geological Survey of Slovenia
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| Abstract: | One of the key tasks in ensuring national security is the ability of the state and society to recognise and effectively assess the conditions for disasters, and to prevent them from threatening the sustainable development of the country. The Kyrgyz Republic is highly vulnerable to the influence of climate change, which in turn affects the frequency and intensity of disasters. The Kyrgyz Republic is exposed to almost all types of geological and man-made hazards, including earthquakes, landslides, debris flows, flash floods, outbursts of mountain lakes, dam failures, avalanches, droughts, extreme temperature, epidemics and releases of hazardous substances. Analysis of information on existing risks and their control systems used to reduce their negative impact makes it possible to assess the degree of probability, the expected consequences of threats, determine the degree of risk, the adaptive potential of communities and select appropriate protective measures. Therefore, this study is conducted to assess the hazard, vulnerability and exposure of Suzak district (Jalal-Abad oblast) in order to quantify the risk of the study area using multi-parameter holistic assessment with field collecting of primary data and utilizing Index-based Risk Assessment approach based on applying INFORM Risk model. Collected data was used to downscale subnational INFORM Risk model for municipal and district level using a multi-layered structure. A risk score is calculated by combining 72 indicators that measure three main dimensions: hazard & exposure, vulnerability, and lack of coping capacity. These findings provide an opportunity to develop a more effective disaster risk management at the local and national levels, by prioritizing relevant actions and investments for municipalities – districts which are demonstrated relatively highest risk scores. Also, the possibility of applying localized risk assessment procedures provides an opportunity to obtain more accurate sub-national (district/oblast based) and national levels with effective assessing dynamics of risk. |
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| Keywords: | natural hazard, risk, exposure, vulnerability, disaster risk reduction, disaster risk management, Suzak district |
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| Publication status: | Published |
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| Publication version: | Version of Record |
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| Publication date: | 16.12.2024 |
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| Year of publishing: | 2024 |
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| Number of pages: | str. 301-315 |
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| Numbering: | vol. 67, no. 2 |
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| PID: | 20.500.12556/DiRROS-22464  |
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| UDC: | 504.4 |
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| ISSN on article: | 0016-7789 |
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| DOI: | 10.5474/geologija.2024.015 |
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| COBISS.SI-ID: | 220276739 |
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| Note: |
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| Publication date in DiRROS: | 21.05.2025 |
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| Views: | 487 |
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| Downloads: | 189 |
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| Metadata: |    |
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