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394. Sensitivity analysis, calibration and validation of a phenology model for Pityogenes chalcographus (CHAPY)Nikica Ogris, Mitja Ferlan, Tine Hauptman, Roman Pavlin, Andreja Kavčič, Maja Jurc, Maarten De Groot, 2020, original scientific article Abstract: A phenology model of Pityogenes chalcographus was developed. The model quite accurately simulates the seasonal dynamics of P. chalcographus. Sensitivity analysis revealed the most influential parameters. CHAPY was calibrated and validated for Slovenia. Development of the model revealed several knowledge gaps.
Keywords: six-toothed spruce bark beetle, insect outbreak, population dynamics, voltinism, ecological modelling, pheromone trap, trap tree, monitoring
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