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Title:Continent-wide tree species distribution models may mislead regional management decisions : a case study in the transboundary biosphere reserve Mura-Drava-Danube
Authors:ID Sallmannshofer, Marcus (Author)
ID Chakraborty, Debojyoti (Author)
ID Vacik, Harald (Author)
ID Illés, Gábor (Author)
ID Löw, Markus (Author)
ID Rechenmacher, Andreas (Author)
ID Lapin, Katharina (Author)
ID Ette, Sophie (Author)
ID Stojanović, Dejan (Author)
ID Kobler, Andrej (Author)
ID Schueler, Silvio (Author)
Files:.pdf PDF - Presentation file, download (2,47 MB)
MD5: EA584D815DED443EA24E2328EFD320DF
 
URL URL - Source URL, visit https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/12/3/330
 
Language:English
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:Logo SciVie - Slovenian Forestry Institute
Abstract:The understanding of spatial distribution patterns of native riparian tree species in Europe lacks accurate species distribution models (SDMs), since riparian forest habitats have a limited spatial extent and are strongly related to the associated watercourses, which needs to be represented in the environmental predictors. However, SDMs are urgently needed for adapting forest management to climate change, as well as for conservation and restoration of riparian forest ecosystems. For such an operative use, standard large-scale bioclimatic models alone are too coarse and frequently exclude relevant predictors. In this study, we compare a bioclimatic continent-wide model and a regional model based on climate, soil, and river data for central to south-eastern Europe, targeting seven riparian foundation species%Alnus glutinosa, Fraxinus angustifolia, F. excelsior, Populus nigra, Quercus robur, Ulmus laevis, and U. minor. The results emphasize the high importance of precise occurrence data and environmental predictors. Soil predictors were more important than bioclimatic variables, and river variables were partly of the same importance. In both models, five of the seven species were found to decrease in terms of future occurrence probability within the study area, whereas the results for two species were ambiguous. Nevertheless, both models predicted a dangerous loss of occurrence probability for economically and ecologically important tree species, likely leading to significant effects on forest composition and structure, as well as on provided ecosystem services.
Keywords:bioclimatic model, ecological niche model, forest management, tree species selection, riparian forest habitat, climate change adaptation
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Year of publishing:2021
Number of pages:26 str.
Numbering:article 330, iss. 3
PID:20.500.12556/DiRROS-13789 New window
UDC:630*
ISSN on article:1999-4907
DOI:10.3390/f12030330 New window
COBISS.SI-ID:55754243 New window
Note:Nasl. z nasl. zaslona; Opis vira z dne 18. 3. 2021; Soavtor iz Slov.: Andrej Kobler;
Publication date in DiRROS:22.03.2021
Views:1228
Downloads:831
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Forests
Shortened title:Forests
Publisher:MDPI
ISSN:1999-4907
COBISS.SI-ID:3872166 New window

Document is financed by a project

Funder:EC - European Commission
Funding programme:INTERREG VB Danube
Project number:DTP2-044-2.3-REFFOCUS
Name:Resilient riparian forests as ecological corridors in the Mura-Drava-Danube biosphere reserve

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.
Licensing start date:22.03.2021

Secondary language

Language:Undetermined
Keywords:bioklimatski modeli, model ekološke niše, gospodarjenje z gozdovi, izbira drevesnih vrst, obvodni gozdni habitat, prilagajanje podnebnim spremembam


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